Decoding Crude Oil Benchmarks (Brent, WTI, Dubai): What Price Spreads Reveal About Market Fundamentals

By Francis Sheku Fobbie –
CEO/Director: Global Energy & Petroleum Brokers  – July 2025 Article

“As a refinery owner or a sales leader in this industry, you live and breathe crude oil prices. But simply knowing the daily price of Brent or WTI isn’t enough. The real insights, the ones that matter for your margins and strategic moves, are hidden in the differences between these prices – the spreads.”

teamwork: group of industrial workers in a refinery – oil processing equipment and machinery

These spreads aren’t random. They’re like a live, unfiltered report from the global oil market. They tell you about supply and demand, logistics, geopolitical shifts, and even the immediate mood of the trading floor. Ignoring them is like driving blind. See more for details

 

 

The Rise of Non-OPEC Supply (US Shale, Guyana, Brazil): Opportunities & Challenges for Refiners

By Francis Sheku Fobbie – CEO, Global Energy and Petroleum Brokers Limited

Introduction
The global petroleum industry is evolving rapidly and experiencing a transformative shift, driven by the swift increase in non-OPEC supply from regions such as the U.S. shale, Guyana, and Brazil. This rise in production is reshaping market dynamics, offering both unprecedented opportunities and complex challenges for refinery owners, sales directors, and decision-makers. As non-OPEC+ countries are expected to lead global oil supply growth in 2025 and 2026, refiners must adapt. strategically to capitalise on these trends while navigating potential risks. More crude’s coming from these regions, and it’s creating new possibilities for refiners—but it’s not all smooth sailing. Let’s break down what’s happening, why it matters, and what you need to watch out for.

A New Era of Non-OPEC Dominance  

Non-OPEC+ supply is expected to grow significantly, with the U.S., Guyana, and Brazil at the forefront. The U.S. shale sector, particularly in the Permian Basin, continues to drive output, with forecasts estimating U.S. production at 13.34 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2025. Guyana’s offshore fields are projected to produce 1.2 million b/d, while Brazil’s deepwater fields contribute around 3 million b/d, collectively challenging OPEC’s market share. Combined, these regions have added approximately 6 million b/d to global supply in recent years, a trend expected to continue with non-OPEC liquids supply growing by 1.3 million b/d in 2025...see more :

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Navigating Crude Quality Differentials: Maximising Refinery Yields in a Volatile Market

In today’s fast-moving oil market, not all crude oil is the same. Some types are light and sweet. Others are heavy and sour. The difference between them is called the crude quality differential, and it can make or break a refinery’s bottom line.

In today’s fast-moving oil market, not all crude oil is the same. Some types are light and sweet. Others are heavy and sour. The difference between them is called the crude quality differential, and it can make or break a refinery’s bottom line.

But here’s the good news: with the right strategy and the help of a knowledgeable commodity broker, refineries can make smart buying decisions, keep operations smooth, and boost their profits—even when the market is up and down…see our blog post for more analysis.